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Red64
49087.5
17523.3
346422.8
Blue26
66907.4
107116.3
173512.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5636020801006426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#8
23.31.1
19.120.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
red by 7.0
16.30.6
13.512.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Second
22.81.1
18.819.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
red by 10.1
1735
#23
12.61.0
15.214.2
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Third
4908
#14
7.51.1
10.011.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 0.2
6690
#22
7.41.0
6.45.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed