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Red41
49252.0
105830.0
975.8
Blue27
85447.2
15714.8
490524.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4649304060704127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.2
30.530.3
Auto13.5
Teleop14.8
End1.8
red by 5.9
4905
#10
24.11.1
17.616.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Second
97
#16
5.80.2
4.94.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
blue by 8.9
157
#17
14.81.0
11.110.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
4925
#26
2.00.4
9.18.7
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.2
End-0.5
blue by 5.2
8544
#28
7.21.6
13.011.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed