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Red35
49087.5
174023.1
135010.0
Blue71
808526.8
19018.5
51128.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44473540505560653571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#13
23.10.4
20.420.0
Auto12.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 3.7
26.81.1
22.423.5
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
1350
#20
10.00.6
9.48.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 8.6
190
#4
18.51.9
10.812.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
4908
#14
7.50.4
10.510.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 0.5
5112
#24
8.01.1
9.110.2
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned