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Red60
173512.6
71539.0
490931.2
Blue37
66204.7
37199.3
17523.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59402030507080906037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.6
25.926.5
Auto12.6
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 7.9
175
#8
23.30.4
19.819.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
Second
1735
#23
12.61.0
11.812.8
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
red by 3.4
3719
#19
9.30.4
9.69.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Third
7153
#21
9.01.0
13.514.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.5
red by 4.3
6620
#27
4.70.7
9.28.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed