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Red62
37199.3
66317.5
17523.3
Blue15
85447.2
18111.4
49252.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532204060801006215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#8
23.31.2
20.521.6
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
red by 11.9
181
#18
11.41.0
12.911.9
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Second
663
#12
17.51.7
16.318.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 10.3
8544
#28
7.21.5
7.25.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
3719
#19
9.31.2
7.48.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
red by 7.3
4925
#26
2.01.5
3.31.9
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed