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Red52
176827.7
490524.1
66907.4
Blue43
107116.3
71539.0
808526.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625402040801001205243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
27.227.0
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
red by 0.9
26.80.6
26.225.6
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
4905
#10
24.10.2
20.019.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 7.8
16.30.6
14.213.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
6690
#22
7.40.3
8.27.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 1.6
7153
#21
9.00.9
9.99.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed