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Red39
19018.5
135010.0
12619.3
Blue71
490931.2
346422.8
226211.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456602060801001203971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#11
19.30.3
17.216.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.5
blue by 11.9
31.20.9
31.332.2
Auto12.6
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Second
190
#4
18.50.4
14.313.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 4.3
22.80.9
17.818.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
Third
1350
#20
10.00.4
11.611.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 1.6
2262
#15
11.60.9
8.29.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed