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Red37
66317.5
63336.9
18111.4
Blue57
66204.7
49087.5
105830.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060801003757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#12
17.50.5
18.017.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 12.5
30.00.1
28.628.7
Auto13.5
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Second
181
#18
11.40.4
11.911.6
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 3.9
4908
#14
7.50.1
9.29.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
6333
#25
6.90.5
7.46.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.8
End0.9
red by 2.2
6620
#27
4.70.1
6.06.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed