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Red34
51128.0
173512.6
18111.4
Blue52
105830.0
71539.0
19018.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346002040801003452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#23
12.60.4
12.512.1
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
blue by 17.4
30.00.1
28.728.7
Auto13.5
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Second
181
#18
11.40.3
11.611.3
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End1.6
blue by 7.1
190
#4
18.50.1
15.715.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
5112
#24
8.00.3
9.69.3
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 1.0
7153
#21
9.00.1
6.56.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed