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Red34
15714.8
49087.5
66317.5
Blue70
176827.7
37199.3
808526.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426802060801001203470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#12
17.50.7
17.917.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 10.2
27.70.4
26.125.7
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Second
157
#17
14.80.6
14.914.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 12.0
26.80.4
25.224.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Third
4908
#14
7.50.6
8.17.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 1.8
3719
#19
9.30.4
7.47.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed