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Red31
66907.4
490931.2
51128.0
Blue71
107116.3
226211.6
105830.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55592040801003171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.3
32.030.8
Auto12.6
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 1.2
30.00.9
28.729.6
Auto13.5
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Second
5112
#24
8.01.3
9.38.0
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 8.3
16.30.9
14.815.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
6690
#22
7.41.4
8.67.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 4.2
2262
#15
11.60.9
9.510.4
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed