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Red76
346422.8
490524.1
71539.0
Blue36
18111.4
37199.3
15714.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54330204060801007636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#10
24.12.0
21.022.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 9.4
157
#17
14.80.2
14.314.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Second
22.82.0
19.121.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
red by 11.4
181
#18
11.40.2
11.311.5
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
7153
#21
9.02.2
6.68.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.5
blue by 0.3
3719
#19
9.30.2
7.07.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed