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Red45
975.8
19018.5
49252.0
Blue25
66204.7
173512.6
174023.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205004060804525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
18.51.0
15.816.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 4.6
1740
#13
23.11.1
23.622.5
Auto12.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Second
97
#16
5.80.9
4.75.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
blue by 6.8
1735
#23
12.61.2
12.110.9
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Third
4925
#26
2.01.0
1.02.0
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.2
End-0.5
blue by 2.7
6620
#27
4.71.2
5.94.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed