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Red49
349013.1
281513.0
34322.6
Blue18
947710.1
93150.5
28114.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382701020506070804918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
22.61.4
14.415.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 8.0
281
#5
14.50.8
11.911.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Second
3490
#10
13.11.4
9.110.5
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End1.8
red by 3.0
10.10.8
8.27.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
13.01.4
9.310.6
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
red by 12.5
9315
#30
0.50.8
5.44.5
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed