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Red17
70855.2
105110.6
13197.1
Blue20
348911.7
76766.0
39762.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281901040501720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#18
10.60.8
11.210.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 1.0
3489
#12
11.70.0
9.39.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
Second
1319
#29
7.10.8
6.96.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
red by 1.1
7676
#22
6.00.0
5.25.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Third
7085
#28
5.20.8
6.15.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 3.2
3976
#14
2.00.0
3.73.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed