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Red34
418910.6
128711.6
513014.1
Blue55
453312.7
81374.4
636619.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3929010205060703455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
14.10.0
10.910.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.4
blue by 4.9
19.00.8
11.412.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
1287
#27
11.60.0
12.712.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 1.1
12.70.8
10.711.5
Auto1.7
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
4189
#23
10.60.0
10.410.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.4
red by 6.2
8137
#24
4.40.8
5.86.6
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned