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Red20
33296.5
16489.2
857513.9
Blue66
34213.6
12933.5
297434.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28450102040506070802066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#11
13.90.8
12.912.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 20.9
34.81.9
20.322.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
Second
1648
#20
9.20.8
7.16.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End2.4
blue by 4.4
342
#7
13.62.0
10.012.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
3329
#32
6.50.8
7.36.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 3.0
1293
#26
3.52.0
8.110.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed