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Red28
348911.7
33296.5
349013.1
Blue41
873613.4
95716.6
636619.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283601020405060702841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#10
13.10.4
10.510.1
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End1.8
blue by 5.8
19.00.8
12.213.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
3489
#12
11.70.2
9.39.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
blue by 1.8
8736
#19
13.40.8
12.613.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
3329
#32
6.50.4
6.56.1
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Level
9571
#16
6.60.8
6.77.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed