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Red38
128711.6
70855.2
16489.2
Blue43
857513.9
445122.1
93150.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254001020305060703843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#27
11.60.4
12.713.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 10.5
22.10.9
18.018.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
1648
#20
9.20.4
6.36.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End2.4
blue by 4.7
8575
#11
13.90.9
12.113.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Third
7085
#28
5.20.4
5.35.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 4.8
9315
#30
0.50.9
4.55.5
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed