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Red59
297434.8
13197.1
453312.7
Blue18
281513.0
418910.6
947710.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46290102040506070805918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.4
22.223.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 21.8
13.01.6
10.69.0
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Second
12.71.4
11.512.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 2.1
4189
#23
10.61.6
10.48.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Third
1319
#29
7.11.4
6.17.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
blue by 3.0
10.11.6
7.35.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed