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Red21
34322.6
95716.6
33296.5
Blue26
81374.4
873613.4
34213.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32342025304045502126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
22.60.9
15.714.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 9.0
342
#7
13.61.1
12.211.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Second
9571
#16
6.60.9
7.66.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 6.9
8736
#19
13.41.1
13.412.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
3329
#32
6.50.9
6.15.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 2.1
8137
#24
4.41.1
4.93.9
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed