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Red29
76766.0
61679.5
445122.1
Blue31
513014.1
95616.0
16489.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3326010203040502931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.0
18.918.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 8.0
5130
#17
14.10.4
9.59.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Second
6167
#31
9.50.0
4.74.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
red by 0.3
1648
#20
9.20.4
6.76.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Third
7676
#22
6.00.0
5.45.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Level
9561
#13
6.00.4
8.07.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned