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Red50
297434.8
30914.6
61679.5
Blue47
33296.5
453312.7
34213.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060805047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.0
26.927.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 21.2
342
#7
13.61.4
12.313.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Second
6167
#31
9.51.0
6.37.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 3.2
12.71.4
13.114.4
Auto1.7
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
3091
#25
4.61.0
3.64.6
Auto0.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 1.9
3329
#32
6.51.4
4.45.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed