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Red44
947710.1
12933.5
873613.4
Blue5
93150.5
13197.1
128711.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320102040506070445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#19
13.40.4
9.710.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 1.9
1287
#27
11.62.6
14.812.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Second
10.10.4
10.210.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 3.0
1319
#29
7.12.6
8.86.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
1293
#26
3.50.4
5.55.9
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End0.3
red by 3.0
9315
#30
0.52.6
5.12.5
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed