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Red26
513014.1
69617.7
33296.5
Blue36
39762.0
70855.2
445122.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263210204050602636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
14.10.4
14.013.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.4
blue by 8.0
22.10.8
19.618.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
6961
#15
7.70.4
4.94.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
red by 2.5
7085
#28
5.20.8
4.23.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
3329
#32
6.50.4
5.75.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 4.5
3976
#14
2.00.8
4.53.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed