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Red66
636619.0
297434.8
105110.6
Blue21
349013.1
453312.7
16489.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692404060801001206621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.5
27.928.4
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 21.6
3490
#10
13.10.7
7.97.2
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Second
19.00.5
17.918.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 6.3
12.70.7
14.413.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
1051
#18
10.60.5
11.111.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 1.4
1648
#20
9.20.7
4.94.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed