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Red72
69617.7
297434.8
95716.6
Blue29
636619.0
61679.5
857513.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41472030607080907229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.0
28.429.4
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 15.8
19.01.3
18.317.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
6961
#15
7.71.0
4.55.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 6.1
8575
#11
13.91.3
15.814.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Third
9571
#16
6.61.0
4.75.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 2.9
6167
#31
9.51.3
7.76.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed