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Red31
947710.1
128711.6
76766.0
Blue22
30914.6
281513.0
70855.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322204060801003122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#27
11.60.6
12.211.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 1.4
13.00.9
12.511.6
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Second
10.10.7
10.69.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 4.9
7085
#28
5.20.9
3.42.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
7676
#22
6.00.7
4.64.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End0.7
red by 1.4
3091
#25
4.60.9
5.34.3
Auto0.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed