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Red43
16489.2
348911.7
61679.5
Blue21
418910.6
13197.1
15395.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282504060801001201404321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#12
11.70.9
10.010.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
red by 1.1
4189
#23
10.60.6
10.810.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Second
6167
#31
9.51.1
7.68.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
red by 2.4
1319
#29
7.10.6
6.76.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
1648
#20
9.21.1
7.68.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End2.4
red by 3.9
1539
#21
5.30.6
5.24.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed