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Red10
93150.5
70855.2
81374.4
Blue17
95716.6
39762.0
95616.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9180304050601017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7085
#28
5.20.1
4.24.1
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 1.3
9571
#16
6.60.3
6.56.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Second
8137
#24
4.40.1
5.04.8
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 1.6
9561
#13
6.00.3
6.05.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
9315
#30
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.3
blue by 1.5
3976
#14
2.00.3
2.62.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed