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Red34
105110.6
128711.6
34213.6
Blue36
76766.0
281513.0
69617.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46210103040506070803436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
13.60.4
13.813.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
red by 0.6
13.01.1
10.711.9
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Second
1287
#27
11.60.4
12.712.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
red by 3.8
6961
#15
7.71.1
6.17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
1051
#18
10.60.4
12.111.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 4.6
7676
#22
6.01.1
5.26.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed