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Red39
128711.6
81374.4
34322.6
Blue47
349013.1
70855.2
61679.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462404060803947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
22.60.4
22.021.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 9.4
3490
#10
13.11.2
11.813.0
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Second
1287
#27
11.60.4
12.311.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
red by 2.1
6167
#31
9.51.2
8.49.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Third
8137
#24
4.40.4
4.84.4
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 0.8
7085
#28
5.21.2
4.15.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed