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Red54
34213.6
636619.0
69617.7
Blue48
445122.1
418910.6
348911.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415020306070805448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.8
17.618.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 3.1
22.10.3
21.221.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
342
#7
13.60.8
13.414.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
red by 2.0
3489
#12
11.70.3
11.912.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
Third
6961
#15
7.70.8
7.38.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 2.9
4189
#23
10.60.3
10.711.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed