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Red65
95616.0
297434.8
947710.1
Blue29
95716.6
13197.1
513014.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592502040801006529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
33.533.8
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 20.7
5130
#17
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Second
10.10.3
10.310.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 3.0
1319
#29
7.10.2
7.17.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
9561
#13
6.00.3
5.76.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 0.6
9571
#16
6.60.2
5.86.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed