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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354402060801005928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#6
21.11.7
15.917.6
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 7.1
343
#2
28.20.7
24.023.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
18.21.7
13.014.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 9.4
9571
#12
8.80.7
6.55.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Third
1293
#24
6.61.7
4.25.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 1.0
6961
#29
7.60.7
8.57.8
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed