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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353120254045503634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
10.611.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
red by 2.4
19.30.3
12.713.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Second
18.50.3
13.113.5
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 2.7
3489
#26
15.70.3
11.712.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
1319
#20
7.20.3
7.17.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
blue by 1.7
8137
#15
8.90.4
4.44.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed