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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443001020405060706527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.5
19.621.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 5.0
19.30.1
14.414.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Second
281
#6
21.11.5
14.415.9
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 12.7
7104
#28
8.40.2
8.58.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
6910
#22
4.61.5
3.95.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 2.9
4701
#27
7.50.1
5.85.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed