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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353620304050603945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#3Sur
18.20.4
12.613.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 6.7
24.90.9
21.422.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Second
3489
#26
15.70.4
12.913.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 5.6
1539
#14
10.10.9
8.08.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Third
1319
#20
7.20.4
7.17.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
red by 2.4
9315
#23
4.80.9
2.43.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed