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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36280102040506070804930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
17.61.2
14.715.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 0.9
18.50.1
14.414.5
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
1051
#19
10.51.2
11.312.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 2.8
6961
#29
7.60.1
8.48.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Third
8137
#15
8.91.2
5.56.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
red by 2.4
1758
#16
6.50.1
3.33.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed