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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38250102030506070803946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.7
14.214.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
red by 5.7
8575
#11
16.00.8
14.715.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
6167
#18
12.00.4
10.410.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 4.5
4701
#27
7.50.8
5.76.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
7104
#28
8.40.7
8.39.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 1.8
1293
#24
6.60.8
3.44.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed