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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6121040801006431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
28.20.5
23.223.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 10.6
342
#4
17.70.5
16.416.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Second
24.30.5
21.121.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 19.1
3976
#21
5.10.5
2.52.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Third
7085
#13
10.70.5
6.47.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 6.1
6910
#22
4.60.5
5.45.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed