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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2839010205060706454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.8
14.515.3
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 0.9
5130
#17
17.60.7
15.916.5
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Second
9571
#12
8.80.8
5.86.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
blue by 8.1
2815
#10
16.90.7
14.915.6
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
9086
#25
8.70.8
6.77.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 3.9
9315
#23
4.80.7
3.23.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed