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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44362060804349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#6
21.10.3
17.617.9
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 2.9
18.20.7
14.715.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
3489
#26
15.70.3
13.313.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
blue by 0.3
8575
#11
16.00.7
15.616.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
6961
#29
7.60.3
7.88.1
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 1.2
1758
#16
6.50.7
3.44.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed