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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3949102030607080903561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
28.20.1
23.823.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 4.0
24.30.9
21.622.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
4701
#27
7.50.1
6.56.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 14.2
21.71.4
14.916.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Third
1293
#24
6.60.1
5.95.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 2.2
8137
#15
8.90.9
6.67.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed