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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212404060801001201401602417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1539
#14
10.10.3
8.99.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 0.6
7085
#13
10.70.3
7.06.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Second
9086
#25
8.70.3
7.57.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 0.1
9571
#12
8.80.3
6.66.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Third
3976
#21
5.10.3
2.93.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 2.1
1319
#20
7.20.3
7.57.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed