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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553102040801003336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.9
22.321.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 5.6
19.30.3
14.314.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Second
2815
#10
16.90.9
15.614.7
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 4.9
6167
#18
12.00.3
10.811.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
Third
7104
#28
8.41.5
9.07.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 3.8
6910
#22
4.60.3
5.86.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed