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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842020801001204651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
22.522.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 6.1
18.20.7
15.416.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
18.50.3
15.315.0
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 0.8
342
#4
17.70.7
16.917.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Third
1051
#19
10.50.3
12.512.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 1.6
8137
#15
8.90.7
7.58.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed