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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123902060801001044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7085
#13
10.70.3
6.76.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 5.3
8575
#11
16.00.8
16.217.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
1758
#16
6.50.3
4.13.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 3.7
1539
#14
10.10.8
9.210.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Third
3976
#21
5.10.3
3.22.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 3.6
9571
#12
8.80.8
6.37.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed