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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801006835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#6
21.10.3
17.918.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 3.5
5130
#17
17.60.3
16.516.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Second
19.30.3
14.614.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 12.7
1293
#24
6.60.3
5.96.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Third
6167
#18
12.00.3
11.111.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 7.4
6910
#22
4.60.3
6.26.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed