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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514502060801006921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
28.21.3
23.725.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 3.4
24.91.4
21.420.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Second
342
#4
17.71.3
17.618.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 7.2
1051
#19
10.51.4
12.210.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
9315
#23
4.81.3
3.95.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 3.9
9086
#25
8.71.4
7.86.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed